What will 2019 bring?

A New Year is often a time of reflection on the year that has ended and what the forthcoming year might bring (the fact that we have arbitrarily decided this is in on the 1st January is an interesting point, in the same way that most people say they want to retire at 65 because this was for many years the State Pension age – we anchor to dates/times due to societal influence).

Therefore, what will 2019 actually bring in financial aspects? Clearly, we do not know but the dreaded “B” word will no doubt come up more and more.

For me it is important to separate the issues of long-term global investment performance from the UK economic effects of Brexit. The latter is clearly an issue for many people and businesses in the UK but in my day-to-day work it is the former I am asked about frequently. The most common questions being “What do you think Brexit will do to my portfolio?”.

The answer depends on where you are invested; if you are 100% invested in one UK based export company whose main market is Europe this is very different to having a global portfolio of over 9,000 companies.

If you are invested in the latter then consider this. Each company you own a bit of is run by people trying to make that company profitable and competitive in the area in which it trades by selling its products and services. Some will succeed, others will fail. As we cannot know who will or will not in advance, it is a good idea to buy them all. The aggregate return of these companies over time (decades) is the engine of the portfolio and what we are invested in.

How then does Brexit affect the long-term outlook for these thousands of global companies (most of which are probably not based in the UK)?

In the short term we will likely see more uncertainty but in the long term I expect this to pass as every other “apocalypse du jour” has passed before.

This is why having a plan is so important as I believe successful investing is goal focused and planning driven with unsuccessful investing being market focused and performance driven.

Warm Regards

Neil

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VF - Devon
Lee is easy to talk to and very confident and knowledgeable which makes you feel at ease.  He explains things in a way which is not condescending, but is precise and easy to understand. I was slightly nervous about re-mortgaging my property in order to raise capital for my daughter but after an unhurried, relaxed meeting with Lee I felt much happier about the whole process. I would have no hesitation in recommending Lee to anyone seeking financial advice and will be returning to him myself for some investment help in the future. What could they have done better?  Nothing, he's already brilliant! Maybe some chocolate biscuits on the desk.
VF - Somerset
I first sought financial advice from Lee about 15 years ago, advice which I stupidly ignored at the time. Lesson learned.. Over the years I have benefitted greatly from Lee's knowledge and experience, along with his skill of ensuring that whether it is in relation to mortgages, insurance, pensions or savings, I consider all the options open to me.  Lee is professional, approachable, hugely experienced and ensures that he he keeps up to date on market developments and fully informed about what products / services are available.
VF - Somerset
I inherited a substantial sum of money and needed some advice as to how to make the most of it.  Simon was very friendly and down to earth, simplifying the monetary jargon so that I could understand exactly what was going on and therefore make an informed decision. Simon was a wonderful advisor, who answered all of my questions (no matter how silly) and made me feel in control of my finances again. He is always available to answer any queries and I would highly recommend him to anyone.
VF - Somerset
Simon is extremely knowledgeable in all areas of financial planning and is always happy to explain things further if his clients are unsure. He is professional in every aspect, from his face-to-face contact to completion of paperwork and I cannot recommend him highly enough. I would have every confidence in placing any of my financial business with him. Simon takes the time to get to know clients and then provides suitable advice. I am very happy to have Simon guiding me through the world of financial issues and would happily recommend him.
Avril, Devon
I am a pensioner and when I first saw Neil I was extremely worried about how to keep my savings safe but also have a good return from my investments.  Neil was very kind and explained everything in detail to me for the best way to go forward with my money. I have now been with him for three years and my portfolio has grown and I feel confident with all the advice he has given and the investments that he has done for me, I know that if I have any worries I can contact him and he will always get back to me immediately, I now feel confident with my investments and all the advice that Neil has given me and I am enjoying my retirement. I am extremely satisfied with everything Neil has done.
Donna Noll
Simon, is so easy to talk with and he ensures you understand completely his suggestions to help you create more wealth! I bought my buy to let property without stress and i can honestly say that was down to Simon's advice, help, support and knowledge. I could not recommend Simon highly enough.
Nick Girone- Maddocks, Gibbins Richards Estate Agents, Wellington
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Euan and Jane Barker, Wellington
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My wife and I were 1st time buyers. David and his colleagues removed a lot of stress and provided much needed experience to the process. He was able to provide insight and advice for all areas of house buying, and we often used him as a sounding board. David was always honest with regards to his fees/commission and also not afraid to dissuade us from ideas that he didn't believe were the best option - although we never felt pressurised or subject to a hard sell. David was able to find mortgage deals that we were not, with better rates, and explain the pros and cons of each option. He was always careful to make sure we understood what he was telling us, without using blinding us with numbers and technical language. David also ensured that we were able to afford the options in the long term, exploring potential changes to income and circumstances that would affect us. When we had submitted the paperwork for the mortgage and subsequent life insurance/income protection, David and his team were invaluable for chasing the other parties, solving issues (of which there were quite a few!) and generally took a large portion of stress away from us. I would thoroughly recommend using David and his company.
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David was first recommended to me by a well-respected local estate agent.  From the outset I was treated as a valued client by David and his excellent support team.  As an active property investor I have found David's professionalism and strong relationships with lenders invaluable during the four years that I have been a client of his.  Every mortgage application that we have submitted has been successful during this period. David is always friendly, approachable and above all, flexible, and has always dealt promptly with my frequent requests for market updates and information.  I am always happy to recommend him.  I not only value good service and successful business outcomes, I rely on them for my living.  Because of this I have no problem being critical of and leaving companies that do not deliver, however friendly they may be. In four years I have had no reason to complain about any aspect of David or his team's work on my behalf beyond the occasional absence of a cup of coffee at a consultation!  I have not benchmarked the cost of the financial advice that I receive against other local firms and Blackdown Financial have recently increased their fees. Others may be cheaper, I have not found better.